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Mostrando entradas de junio, 2025

GRUPO BOLIVAR (SCA)

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  El estudio de Grupo Bolívar se segmenta en tres temporalidades: largo plazo (2010-2025), mediano plazo (marzo 2020-Actualidad) y corto plazo (septiembre 2024-Actualidad). Además, se incorporan los indicadores técnicos de "Venta Fuerte" que aparecen de las informaciones recogidas de varias fuentes. En el largo plazo (2010 - 2025),   la curva de tendencia lineal tiene una pendiente positiva de 8.94. El coeficiente de determinación (R²) 0.3981, lo que indica que la tendencia lineal explica solo el 39.81% de la variabilidad del precio. Esto sugiere que, aunque hay una tendencia alcista, el precio no se mueve de forma perfectamente lineal y hay otros factores o volatilidad que influyen. La media del precio de $58,223.13 y la mediana de $56. 500.oo. La rentabilidad 75% en 14 años, considerada modesta. La diferencia entre resistencia y soporte del 167%, indica "demasiada volatilidad". Esto es crucial para entender el histograma. La probabilidad acumulada: 86.41...

NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA (NA)

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  he National Bank of Canada (Banque Nationale du Canada in French) is one of the six largest and most important banks in Canada. It was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Montreal, Quebec. It offers a wide range of financial services to individuals, commercial banking solutions for businesses, and institutional and government clients, such as financial market services, wealth management, and investment banking. National Bank of Canada operates in other countries, including the United States, Cambodia, Ireland, Malta, Thailand, and China. The historical behavior of this bank is studied across three segments: long-term, medium-term, and short-term. In the long term, the analysis of this bank's shares runs from January 4, 2010, to June 6, 2025. In January 2010, it started with a price of CAD 29.96 (CAD being its currency, Canadian dollars) and ended on June 6, 2025, with a value of CAD 133.87, showing a return of 346.83%. This return, while significant, is not extre...

NVIDIA (NVDA)

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  Analysis, Structure, and Clarity The analysis is logically divided by timeframes (long-term, medium-term, short-term) and then delves into technical indicators and moving averages. This structure facilitates understanding, providing a comprehensive view and a grasp of the nuances. Clarity in data presentation (dates, start and end prices, returns) is fundamental. The consistent use of technical terms, such as "R2", "standard deviation", "skewness", and "kurtosis", along with their respective interpretations, demonstrates a deep understanding. Long-Term Perspective (2010-2025) The identification of the massive long-term return (30752.17%) for NVIDIA underscores its historical success. The description of a robust uptrend, considerable volatility, positive skewness, and high kurtosis is accurate. This is a clear example of a "growth" stock with an exceptional appreciation history. The skewness and kurtosis confirm that NVID...

Amazon (AMZN) Analysis

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 The analysis conducted covers key timeframes for a comprehensive evaluation of Amazon (AMZN). The view that Amazon has demonstrated spectacular long-term growth is consistent with its dominant position in e-commerce and cloud services (AWS). However, the signals observed in the medium and short term are crucial and suggest a phase shift in the stock's life cycle. Long Term (2010 - 2025): A Mature Expansion Cycle This period exhibits accelerated growth and Spectacular Profitability. The data confirms robust growth and impressive profitability (2980.15% over 14 years), positioning AMZN as a historically high-performing asset. The slope of 5.30% and an R2 of 85.34% indicate a strong and consistent uptrend. The mean (75.09) being greater than the median (49.81) confirms a positively or right-skewed distribution. This implies that, over this extended period, there have been more outlier values (prices) above the mean, which is common in assets with exponential growth and periods of eup...